Description
DHInfrastructure worked with the World Bank between 2011 and 2018 to assess the cost of alternative power plant options available to Kosovo for meeting energy consumption and peak demand. Initial power plant options were to include lignite, gas, and fuel oil plants, in combination with a fixed package of renewables. In 2014, the World Bank wanted to update the supply options model to estimate the levelized cost of energy for the different generation options and the long-run average incremental cost for combinations of options, and to conduct sensitivity analyses on the results. In 2017, the World Bank wanted to update the supply options study to account for more recent data related to assumptions. The World Bank wanted to update the assumptions, conduct the required model runs and checks for accuracy, update the options study report to reflect the new results, and support the transfer of the model to World Bank team users. The objective of the study was to determine which new plant scenario would be least-cost for Kosovo.
Service Provided
DHInfrastructure developed a supply options model for Kosovo in 2011. We analyzed the cost of environmental and health externalities associated with each option and estimated the levelized energy cost and the levelized average incremental cost of each option in economic terms. Finally, we developed a demand forecast and simulated the hourly economic dispatch on Kosovo's system. In 2014 and again in 2017, we updated the supply options model and evaluated the supply options under various sensitivities. We modeled the hourly dispatch of Kosovo's existing and planned thermal and renewable generation plants (including imports) to determine the least-cost scenario for Kosovo. Our analysis in 2017 led to the withdrawal of World Bank support for a new coal plant.