Lauren helped to develop a model that estimated the electricity generation capacity required to meet domestic demand based on historic load growth data and data on potential investments in new generation. The model also estimated the resulting cost-recovery generation tariff based on the combination of possible new generation. Results from the model helped to demonstrate financial and supply security challenges facing Armenia’s energy sector in the short- to medium-term. (http://siteresources.worldbank.org/ARMENIAEXTN/Resources/010912_01_eng.pdf)